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    🇹🇭Thailand·Policy·16 Oct 2026·via Nation Thailand

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    Artificial intelligence is driving significant global investment and productivity gains, according to business and tech leaders at the IMF–World Bank meetings. While AI's economic impact is now undeniable, panellists cautioned that the world has yet to agree on critical issues like job displacement, safety protocols, and regulatory frameworks, with growth benefits currently concentrated in a few countries.

    Nexa's Summary

    The discussions at the IMF–World Bank meetings highlight a consensus among leaders that AI has transitioned from potential to a tangible economic force, fueling an investment boom and driving productivity. This shift is evident in macroeconomic indicators and trade flows, moving away from previous concerns about secular stagnation. However, the benefits are not evenly distributed, disproportionately favouring nations directly integrated into the AI value chain, according to IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva.

    Despite the broad agreement on AI's economic impact, there is considerable divergence on its integration into corporate workflows and its effect on employment. While some companies like DHL Group report substantial gains from "agentic" systems automating high-volume tasks, others, as suggested by Dr. Ayesha Khanna, find that merely providing digital assistants has not fundamentally altered corporate productivity. This indicates a potential lag in effective enterprise adoption, where the immediate impact is overestimated and the long-term transformation underestimated, a phenomenon Georgieva referred to as "Amara's law."

    The panel also revealed a split view on the future of work. Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem noted that historical technological shifts have often created more jobs than they destroyed, but added that AI "could be so powerful" that it "could do the new jobs too." Georgieva further warned that "if you are in a repetitive task job, kiss it goodbye," underscoring the potential for significant job displacement even as new, higher-paying categories emerge.

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