Nio expects monthly deliveries to exceed 40,000 in Q4 after strong quarter
Nio projects monthly vehicle deliveries to exceed 40,000 in the fourth quarter of 2026, following a strong second quarter where deliveries reached 107,658 vehicles, a 49.4% year-on-year increase. The company also maintains its medium to long-term target of 40-50% annual sales growth. Revenue for the second quarter surged to RMB 32.137 billion (USD 4.8 billion), up 69.1% year-on-year, with gross profit rising 211.3% to RMB 5.907 billion (USD 878 million). Nio also reported its third consecutive quarter of non-GAAP operating profit, reaching RMB 207 million (USD 30.8 million).
Nio’s robust second-quarter performance, with deliveries up 49.4% year-on-year and revenue growing 69.1%, underscores the increasing brand-centric competition in China’s EV market. The company’s ability to achieve its third consecutive quarter of non-GAAP operating profit, alongside a significant increase in gross margin to 18.4%, suggests a sustainable improvement in profitability rather than a cyclical one. This is particularly notable given rising average costs per vehicle, which Nio expects to increase by another RMB 2,000–3,000 in the second half of 2026. The company’s focus on cost structure improvements and precise product definition appears to be paying off. The expansion of Nio’s battery swap network, with 4,000 stations worldwide and plans for 1,000 more largely funded by partners, is a key differentiator. This strategy not only enhances customer experience but also reduces Nio’s direct capital expenditure, as most investment for new stations will come from its “Power Up Partner” program. The flexible design of fifth-generation swap stations, accommodating all three Nio brands, and the exploration of partnerships with other automakers for network access, point to a broader industry play that could standardize battery packs and improve asset utilization across the EV sector in China. Nio’s multi-brand strategy, with Nio targeting premium, Onvo mainstream family, and Firefly premium compact, is designed to capture different market segments. The strong demand for the ES8 and ES9, with the latter attracting over three-quarters of buyers from outside Nio’s existing user base, demonstrates the brand’s expanding reach. For Onvo, the challenge lies in brand awareness, which Nio plans to address through proactive marketing and sales network expansion. The investment in GeniTech, Nio’s smart driving chip subsidiary, further solidifies its commitment to in-house technology and long-term competitiveness in autonomous driving, a critical battleground for EV makers in Asia.
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