Foreign investors expected to eye more China A shares – but pace set to ease: analyst
Foreign investors are expected to continue increasing their holdings in China A shares, though at a slower pace than the first half of the year. UBS Securities China equity strategist Meng Lei stated this at the UBS annual China A-share strategy conference in Shenzhen. Overseas holdings of A shares reached a record 4.4 trillion yuan (US$654 billion) by the second quarter of 2023. This surge in the first half of the year reflects strong foreign appetite for yuan-denominated domestic shares. However, macroeconomic factors are now tempering these inflows.
The real story here is not a slowdown in foreign investment into China's A-share market, but rather a normalization after a record-setting first half of 2023. Overseas holdings hit an unprecedented 4.4 trillion yuan (US$654 billion) by the second quarter. While UBS strategist Meng Lei forecasts a slower pace for the second half, net inflows are still expected. This points to sustained, albeit more measured, confidence in China's domestic equities. The key for Asia tech professionals is to watch the interplay of tech sentiment, US yields, and yuan strength. These factors are now influencing the pace of capital flows. A continued, even if moderated, inflow suggests that China's tech sector, a significant component of A shares, remains attractive despite broader macroeconomic headwinds. The shift in pace reflects a more discerning approach from foreign capital, rather than a withdrawal.
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